Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
30.83% ( -0.35) | 23.37% ( -0.15) | 45.8% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 61.84% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.43% ( 0.54) | 39.57% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.08% ( 0.56) | 61.92% ( -0.55) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.05% ( 0.05) | 24.94% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% ( 0.07) | 59.57% ( -0.07) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.39% ( 0.41) | 17.61% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.81% ( 0.71) | 48.19% ( -0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.83% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.91% Total : 45.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 50 |
2 | Barnet | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
3 | Bromley | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 39 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
5 | Gateshead | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 35 |
6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 33 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 32 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 32 |
9 | Rochdale | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Eastleigh | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 30 |
11 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 24 |
15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 24 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
19 | York City | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 21 |
21 | Oxford CityOxford City | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 20 |
22 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 19 |
23 | Fylde | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 17 |
24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 15 |
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