FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport
2 - 0
Oldham
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Newport County and Oldham Athletic.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 0-1 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oldham 2-2 Altrincham
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
46.07% ( 0.04) | 24.26% ( -0.05) | 29.66% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
