Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 56.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Altrincham |
56.01% ( 0.28) | 23.22% ( -0.06) | 20.77% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 52.2% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.32% ( -0.01) | 47.68% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% ( -0.01) | 69.88% ( 0.01) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.16% ( 0.1) | 16.84% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.16% ( 0.17) | 46.84% ( -0.16) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.77% ( -0.22) | 37.23% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.98% ( -0.22) | 74.02% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Altrincham |
1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 56.01% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 50 |
2 | Barnet | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
3 | Bromley | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 39 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
5 | Gateshead | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 35 |
6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 33 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 32 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 32 |
9 | Rochdale | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Eastleigh | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 30 |
11 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 24 |
15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 24 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
19 | York City | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 21 |
21 | Oxford CityOxford City | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 20 |
22 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 19 |
23 | Fylde | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 17 |
24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 15 |
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