Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.