Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
38.48% ( -0.01) | 25.56% ( -0.01) | 35.95% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.71% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.73% ( 0.05) | 48.27% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.58% ( 0.05) | 70.42% ( -0.05) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( 0.02) | 24.65% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.82% ( 0.02) | 59.18% ( -0.02) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.94% ( 0.04) | 26.06% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% ( 0.05) | 61.1% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
1-0 @ 9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.48% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 35.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 50 |
2 | Barnet | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
3 | Bromley | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 39 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
5 | Gateshead | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 35 |
6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 33 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 32 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 32 |
9 | Rochdale | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Eastleigh | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 30 |
11 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 24 |
15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 24 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
19 | York City | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 21 |
21 | Oxford CityOxford City | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 20 |
22 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 19 |
23 | Fylde | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 17 |
24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 15 |
> National League Full Table |